Coast is clear: Monsoon to hit Kerala in 48 hrs

KOCHI/PUNE: After keeping the country and the powers-that-be on tenterhooks, the skies have thrown up a positive sign: the south-west monsoon which should have hit Kerala five days ago will arrive in the next 48 hours, with June 6 being the farther limit.

On Sunday, the Indian Meteorological Department in Pune forecast favourable conditions for the monsoon in the next 24 hours, after a week’s hiatus over the Arabian Sea. “Monsoon is likely to set in over southern parts of Kerala in the next 48 hours,” said IMD director Sunitha Devi.

Asked whether the delay would impact its progress across India, Devi said, “The delay can barely be seen as a drastic deviation. We have had instances when monsoon has hit Kerala as late as June 18,” she said. “The current delay need not necessarily lead to a progressive delay in movement across the country.”

The meteorological office also had something for north India, reeling under blistering heat. Temperatures are likely to fall in the next 24 hours, with “isolated dust storm and thundershowers over parts of northwest India”, Devi said.

“A western disturbance has moved away from Jammu and Kashmir while another is approaching from northeast Afghanistan and Pakistan. This will trigger isolated dust storm and thundershowers in the north,” she said.

Pre-monsoon showers to reach Maharashtra by June 6

The southwest monsoon has been swirling in the Arabian Sea for over a week now, but conditions are favourable now, the meteorological office has signalled.

This year, monsoon arrived in the Andaman Sea on May 23, three days behind schedule. It moved northwards on May 25, to cover south and central Bay of Bengal. But there was no movement for a week due to unfavourable weather conditions in the Arabian Sea. IMD says this will change in the next 24 hours.

Conditions are good for monsoon to advance over parts of southeast Arabian Sea, Maldives and Comorin (the area between south of Tamil Nadu, Kerala and west of Sri Lanka), said Sunitha Devi, director of the Indian Meteorological Department. Ahead of the onset of monsoon, rain may occur at many places in Lakshadweep, Kerala, coastal Karnataka, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Andhra and Tamil Nadu in the next 24 hours. Central India, including Vidarbha, where mercury has soared over 45 degrees, is likely to receive pre-monsoon showers around June 6. This will bring down temperatures, the meteorological office said.
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